Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.185321 0.209049 0.234091 0.262434 0.293565 0.326659 0.364441
2025-06-01 0.152088 0.183799 0.219139 0.261250 0.309859 0.364000 0.428650
2025-06-08 0.128070 0.164458 0.206978 0.259920 0.323627 0.397359 0.488654
2025-06-15 0.113016 0.153174 0.202096 0.265368 0.344249 0.438523 0.558805
2025-06-22 0.098636 0.140680 0.193937 0.265271 0.357108 0.470072 0.618080
2025-06-29 0.086854 0.129963 0.186593 0.264925 0.368753 0.499806 0.675603
2025-07-06 0.077067 0.120691 0.179994 0.264511 0.379573 0.528246 0.731945
2025-07-13 0.070008 0.114362 0.176584 0.267698 0.394756 0.562382 0.796373
2025-07-20 0.065140 0.110615 0.176264 0.274778 0.415130 0.603734 0.871358
2025-07-27 0.059449 0.104989 0.172654 0.276690 0.428070 0.635184 0.933780
2025-08-03 0.055548 0.101702 0.172107 0.282760 0.446838 0.674943 1.008449
2025-08-10 0.052319 0.099136 0.172350 0.289809 0.467063 0.717148 1.087529
2025-08-17 0.047140 0.092976 0.166751 0.287942 0.474521 0.742188 1.144387
2025-08-24 0.042804 0.087794 0.162260 0.287387 0.483723 0.769856 1.205681
2025-08-31 0.038844 0.082845 0.157715 0.286350 0.491952 0.796179 1.265642
2025-09-07 0.036584 0.080740 0.157700 0.292480 0.511332 0.839370 1.351179
2025-09-14 0.033504 0.076761 0.154150 0.292502 0.520977 0.868166 1.416199
2025-09-21 0.030680 0.072963 0.150588 0.292196 0.529924 0.895997 1.480349
2025-09-28 0.028116 0.069394 0.147135 0.291787 0.538532 0.923391 1.544385
2025-10-05 0.026320 0.067203 0.146004 0.295266 0.553533 0.960980 1.624721
2025-10-12 0.025207 0.066338 0.147260 0.302956 0.575738 1.010364 1.724252
2025-10-19 0.023493 0.063974 0.145473 0.305037 0.588477 1.045038 1.801781
2025-10-26 0.022426 0.062941 0.146172 0.311620 0.609050 1.092671 1.900530